Track record
Every call, logged and graded in public
Each night the model's published buy signals are written to an append-only log at their published price. Four weeks later, each call is graded against the actual market. Nothing is edited after the fact. Logging began July 11, 2026.
3430
Calls logged
21
Days recorded
686
Calls graded (4w)
Never
Editable after publish
Latest BUY calls
| Published | Card | Call | Score | Price at publish | Now | 4-week result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 2017 Topps Chrome Aaron Judge #169 RefractorPSA 10 Gem Mint | BUY | 100 | $1,188 | $1,188 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏀 1997 SkyBox E-X2001 Michael Jordan #9PSA 7 Near Mint | BUY | 100 | $242.75 | $275.00 +13.3% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 2011 Bowman Chrome Mike Trout #175BGS 9 Mint | BUY | 100 | $150.20 | $150.20 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 2008 Topps Update & Highlights Clayton Kershaw #UH240Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 100 | $124.72 | $124.72 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 2023 Topps Cosmic Chrome Shohei Ohtani #PPS-7 Planetary PursuitRaw (Near Mint) | BUY | 85 | $275.00 | $275.00 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 1951 Bowman Yogi Berra #2Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 85 | $143.50 | $143.50 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏈 1998 Bowman Peyton Manning #1SGC 10 Gem Mint | BUY | 85 | $140.00 | $140.00 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏀 2025 Topps Chrome Jalen Brunson Patented #PD-13Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 85 | $110.00 | $110.00 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 1949 Bowman Warren Spahn #33Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 85 | $103.50 | $103.50 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏀 2023 Topps Chrome Sapphire Victor Wembanyama #1PSA 10 Gem Mint | BUY | 80 | $1,925 | $1,925 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 2025 Topps Cosmic Chrome Shohei Ohtani #56 RefractorPSA 10 Gem Mint | BUY | 80 | $1,775 | $1,775 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏈 2024 Donruss Josh Allen #2 DowntownPSA 10 Gem Mint | BUY | 80 | $1,472 | $1,472 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 1958 Topps Hank Aaron #30SGC 4 VG-EX | BUY | 80 | $540.00 | $540.00 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏀 1970 Topps Lew Alcindor #75PSA 7 Near Mint | BUY | 80 | $420.94 | $420.94 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 2026 Bowman Mike Trout Anime #BA-23Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 80 | $325.00 | $325.00 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏈 2024 Donruss Optic Earl Campbell #3 Downtown LegendsPSA 9 Mint | BUY | 80 | $290.00 | $290.00 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | 🏈 2023 Donruss Optic Jahmyr Gibbs Mythical #18Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 80 | $150.00 | $150.00 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 2018 Topps Update Shohei Ohtani An International #IA-23Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 80 | $130.00 | $132.50 +1.9% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 1952 Bowman Yogi Berra #1Raw (Near Mint) | BUY | 80 | $118.51 | $118.51 0.0% | closes in 28d |
| Aug 9 | ⚾ 1973 Topps Willie Mays #305PSA 6 EX-MT | BUY | 80 | $102.67 | $102.67 0.0% | closes in 28d |
SELL calls, withdrawn
The model no longer publishes sell calls. Too few of them ever reached a graded 4-week outcome to show whether they worked, so we stopped publishing them rather than keep running something we cannot stand behind. The most recent of the calls published before that change are below. They stay here, with their results, because nothing in this log is edited after the fact.
| Published | Card | Call | Score | Price at publish | Now | 4-week result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1 | 🏀 2003 Topps Carmelo Anthony #223 RookiePSA 10 Gem Mint | SELL | 90 | $262.50 | $124.99 -52.4% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏀 1992 Upper Deck Shaquille O'Neal #1PSA 10 Gem Mint | SELL | 60 | $5,628 | $2,863 -49.1% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏈 2000 Bowman Tom Brady #236PSA 7 Near Mint | SELL | 60 | $3,500 | $3,500 0.0% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏀 1996 Topps Chrome Kobe Bryant #138 RookiePSA 7 Near Mint | SELL | 60 | $1,473 | $1,550 +5.3% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏀 2025 Topps Chrome Dylan Harper #252 RefractorPSA 10 Gem Mint | SELL | 60 | $1,401 | $910.00 -35.0% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏈 1998 Topps Peyton Manning #360 RookiePSA 10 Gem Mint | SELL | 60 | $949.50 | $999.50 +5.3% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏀 2025 Topps Chrome Victor Wembanyama Rock #RS-2Raw (Near Mint) | SELL | 60 | $499.00 | $284.00 -43.1% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏀 1997 Topps Finest Kobe Bryant #262PSA 10 Gem Mint | SELL | 60 | $401.00 | $413.00 +3.0% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏀 2023 Panini Prizm Draft Picks Victor Wembanyama #2PSA 10 Gem Mint | SELL | 60 | $230.00 | $113.50 -50.7% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏈 1962 Topps Jim Brown #28Raw (Near Mint) | SELL | 60 | $147.50 | $126.25 -14.4% | closes in 20d |
| Aug 1 | 🏀 2020 Panini Prizm LeBron James #1PSA 8 NM-MT | SELL | 60 | $145.00 | $225.00 +55.2% | closes in 20d |
| Jul 17 | 🐉 2009 Hidden Arsenal Ally of Justice Catastor HA01-EN026 Secret RareRaw (Near Mint) | SELL | 60 | $10.02 | $11.16 +11.4% | closes in 5d |
Before the log
The backtest that earned publication
Signals only ship because the model survived two rounds of testing: a point-in-time replay of ~2 years of real market data (100 weekly cohorts, no hindsight), then a stricter pass graded against real completed sales. The stricter pass decides what publishes, fees caveat included.
+5.4pp
Published buys beat the market
Excess return vs all tracked sport cards over the following days, measured on real completed sales after our data-cleaning passes (t = 3.2). Our top-scoring tier measured stronger still (+9.0pp, t = 4.4). We withdrew that tier for a month when contaminated sale data made it read negative; after removing the contamination and re-testing, it publishes again.
~0pp
After fees: not distinguishable from zero
The same testing puts the absolute return after a typical 13% round trip of selling fees within noise of zero (t below 1). We publish signals to help you buy at the right price, not as a profit system, and every call is logged before its outcome is known.
Signals are informational only, not financial advice. Prices are trailing medians of live market prices; your fills, fees, and timing will differ. Past performance, in the log or in the backtest, does not guarantee future results. Buy signals are a Pro membership feature; this page exists so you can judge them before paying.